Nate: Thanks for a substantive comment contrary to the current. Your thrust seems to be that Bush, and by extension the US, as the more powerful in nuclear terms is necessarilly the one to whom KD should be speaking. In this, though, I think you make several assumptions and errors of judgement.
First, this position assumes an equity of power, or that power itself exists within a vacuum. This seems, to me, akin to the idea that “guns are bad” without considering the thoughts and motives behind the one wielding the gun. I contend that nuclear weapons, of themselves, are no more evil than a rock or knife. I have heard others question why we, as a nuclear power, should try to deny other countries their “right” to the same technology. In response I often list several countries that would not cause me a single moment of lost sleep should they become nuclear powers (e.g. Japan, Canada, Australia, Italy). As such, I see the idea that it is right or understandable to speak out against Bush rather than Iran simply based upon the fact that the US is a more powerful country not unlike searching for one’s keys where the light is better rather than where they were lost.
This leads into the second assumption, that speaking out against Iran can wait until they have the bomb. If your local school was going to hire a convicted child molester should you wait to speak against it until after the person has been hired? Why not, rather, speak to prevent that which you don’t want to see happen? Again, this idea carries the assumption that the addition of nuclear weapons would not lead to a material increase in the threat Iran poses to the US, her interests and her regional allies. Completely lacking is any serious consideration of Iran’s motivation in her nuclear ambitions.
After all, with the exception of the bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, bombs that were dropped during an intense bloody war and in the infancy of the nuclear age, the US has not used her nuclear arsenal offensively in the past sixty years. As such, I completely reject the idea of any nation feeling they need to develop nuclear weapons to protect themselves from the US as either paranoia or a ruse. It is far more likely that this desire for the power of nuclear weapons is to either wield them offensively (a horrible and, in our way of thinking, almost unimaginable motivation) or to use them to insulate themselves from external criticism or censure as they further their “repressive, misogynistic, theocratic, terrorist-sponsoring” actions against both their own people and others in the region. Either of these potential motivations is reprehensible and to claim that they are somehow less dangerous than the motivation of the Bush administration (a temporary resident of the White House, by the way) sems short sighted in the extreme and counter productive to your stated conern for security of the United States.
Inherent in your conclusion that Bush is more of a threat than Iran is also that you have correctly divined that Bush want to invade Iran. This seems to be based upon the frequent complaint that Bush has is either a clueless cowboy or has some secret nefarious agenda, depending upon how much Kool-Aid the speaker has consumed. It completely ignores the reality that the only two large-scale military actions of the GWOT so far have been against Afghanistan (home and sponsor of al Queda) and Iraq (long-time enemy and an invasion that was preceded by about 13 months of diplomatic efforts). We have enemies in DPRK, KSA, Egypt and Syria, but has GWB invaded there? The lesson many on the left have taken from the Iraq invasion is that GWB was dead-set on invading Iraq no matter what, so he did it. The lesson Libya took from the invasion is if you remove the reason then GWB can’t invade.
Further, your concern that military action against Iran would come back against our forces in Iraq, while well meaning and sincere, also looks to me short-sighted and, dare I say it, demonstrates a “simple-minded approach to world affairs.” In order to make a fair assesment of the impact and effect of military action one must also try and anticipate the effect of inaction. While military action against Iran may cause them to operate more openly and with greater vigor in Iraq, it will also allow both us and the Iraqi force to act more openly and directly to crush both the Iranian agents and their supply chains within Iran. On the other hand, an unopposed Iran that is allowed to act with impunity not only poses a material threat through both its agents and surrogates, but continues to relentlessly pursue nuclear weapons. The cost of inaction may very well be the complete destruction of several cities and death of millions of people. Even without a nuclear holocaust, a new nuclear Persian Empire would most certainly require an Arab answer, likely an answer from the very Wahabbi extremists that are today pusuing global jihad. Like many others, I too have lost friends and shipmates in the GWOT, so don’t assume I look at these matters lightly. In a very real sense, it may be my ass on the line. Sometimes war is not so much a matter of chosing the best course of action as it is choosing the least bad. If nothing short of military intervention will deter Iran from its nuclear ambitions which option, in the strategic sense, tends to move the battlespace in the direction of victory? In my analysis, victory in the GWOT relies upon a free Iran, and achieving that end with a nuclear armed Mullacracy is infinitely more difficult.
In the final analysis, if KD et. al. are really worried about GWB taking military action against Iran then it would seem the best course of action would be to do what they can to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. Not only does it defang the snake but simultaneously removes the cowboy’s motivation for shooting it. Had France, Germany and Russia convinced Saddam to open wide for real inspections and come clean rather than try and stonewall the US do you really think the invasion would have still happened? As others have pointed out, working against the Bush administration is, in fact, emboldening Iran and actually making military action that much more likely. Right now Iran, believing US oppositions will stop Bush from taking action, feels it can proceed with its nuclear ambitions without consequence. Would this be different, however, if Iran saw a unified front that we would not allow them to reach their goal? That KD doesn’t even recognize this dynamic does more to damn his irrational behavior in the face of a single man he does not like. Therein lies the definition of insanity.