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Whither Teh Ferd?

Before the South Carolina primary, I thought Fred Thompson was the best candidate for President of the United States. I still think that today. I imagine I'll still think that on January 20, 2009, when the next president takes office.

For that reason, I'd like to see him stay in. He's a great advocate for clear conservative principles. He's not just smarter than the other candidates, I think he's deeper, and, hey, I like him better. None of that has changed. For what little it's worth, he'll have my full support as long as he's running.

I know Fred's a careful man with a better idea of his situation than I have, though, so if he decides to withdraw and throw his support to Mitt Romney, with an understanding that his name will probably appear under Romney's on the GOP ticket, I would be disappointed but could still support such a ticket with some enthusiasm.

If Fred decides to get out and endorses John McCain, well, as much as I admire Fred, I'm not going over there with him. My negative reactions to John McCain are such that a McCain-Thompson ticket just can't make up for it.

I'm quite aware of the strategic implications of Fred staying in. And I just don't care. He's my guy, I support him, and I'll continue to do so. I had hoped Duncan Hunter would stay in, too, even though he was probably taking a few votes away from Fred, because I like Hunter and I like his message. And that's really about all I need to think about it. I don't take myself so seriously to think "wow, events demand that I change my preferred candidate".

I'm very interested in the candidates themselves, their personalities, their policies, and especially their principles and character. But I'll confess right now, at the risk of being disbarred from political blogging, that amateur--even professional--electoral gamesmanship bores the hell out of me. (You know when the last time I went to Real Clear Politics was? The 2006 election.) There's a surfeit of internet quarterbacks out there trying to call the plays. I think it's like modeling global warming; there's eight million known variables out there and an unknown number of Rumsfeldian unknown unknowns on top of that. What's that, you say Farkins County, Delaware hasn't budgeted for road salt, making it difficult for senior citizens waiting for the sleet to melt to get down Farm-to-Market Road 47 and vote for McCain and still make it to the early bird special at the Golden Corral, so they'll stay home watching the History Channel and it's probably going to break for Huckabee? Well, doodley doodle doo. My eyes glaze over, and I go read about jihadists getting blown up, or the weather.

But more importantly, I'm just not going to call for people I admire and respect and agree with to get out of the race. I'm not even going to call for people I don't like to get out of the race. I get combative when pundits say things like "Conservatism (or the future of the GOP, or whatever high hobby horse they're riding) demands that candidate X get out right now!" Dude, get over yourself. I'd love it if Huckabee and Ron Paul were to hang it up tomorrow, but I'm not going to waste my breath issuing proclamations and demands and fatwas about it.

It boils down to this: I'm glad we have some good men like Thompson and Hunter running and I wish them every success. I want to hear and see more of them, and I want America to hear their ideas. And I'd like Fred Thompson to be President. That's not looking likely today, but it will be less likely if he drops out, now won't it?

Post to del.icio.us

Posted by SeeDubya on January 21, 2008 12:55 AM
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I like Fred too, but he was such a dope early on it was crushing. There was so much anticipation, so much energy, waiting for him to take the reins of the movement and what does he do? He acts like he’s out of his Viagra prescription.

He languished too long, he let his wife control too much. That became reminiscient of someone else.

He screwed the pooch.

He is bitterly disappointing.

Posted by drjohn on January 21, 2008 6:47 AM

Thompson said a long time ago “I’m not running for that position” (might be slightly paraphrased) when asked about the VP. I don’t know if that will turn out to have been a cagey way of not saying “…but I’ll accept it if offered” or not. I kind of hope not, but it’s up to him.

I remember being disappointed when Fred didn’t announce his candidacy in May…or June…or on July 4, or in August. He kept saying “there’s plenty of time.” But there wasn’t, of course. There was no time to create and shake the bugs out of his campaign organization, there was no time for fund-raising, and there was no time to make all the campaign stops he needed to make.

I don’t think Thompson is lazy. I think he just had no comprehension of the difference between a state-level campaign against a couple of opposing candidates, and a 50-state campaign against opponents from the same party. Before, he could count on his native republican base of voters - all he had to do was campaign to independents. In the GOP primaries the republican base is being split amongst competing Republican candidates.

There’s no way to win without a decent campaign machine, but Fred obviously thinks that campaigning is BS. A barely necessary or tolerable evil. I admire that perspective, but it’s meant that his campaign has been in disarray from the beginning.

People kept questioning how serious he was about becoming President. I think he was very serious about it - he just wasn’t serious about the campaign process. I suspect he was also reluctant to start cutting the kinds of deals required to get big sponsorship and pull in big local political machines.

I would love to have the kind of political system where a guy like Fred Thompson could be a serious contender for the nomination. But we don’t.

Well, Geoff, I have to agree completely. I hoped and hoped and hoped it was just the media saying he was too late, but lack of name recognition means you have to try to get out front early, alas. I never heard of him until the buzz started over the summer—and while he obviously wasn’t too late for those of us who keep ourselves informed via the web, I vastly overestimated the number of voters who do that.

Alas.

I still like Fred the most. However, I dislike McCain more than I like Fred, and I think that Fred is providing cover for McCain. As such, I’m moving on. Mitt’s the next-best across-the-board conservative IMO, but I’ll vote for the most viable competitor to McShame in my state. If that’s the Huckster, then he’ll get my vote. I hope it’s Mitt, though.

Good on you! Thompson is not my first choice, but I think he’s been really good for this campaign. He single-handedly managed to bring a depth to the debates he joined which made the entire field look better as a result.

If he doesn’t end up serving in a new administration, I sure would like to see him replacing any one of a number of the folks hosting shows on cable. I’m so sick of the vacuous exchange of talking points that passes for political discussion on the tube. He and Joe Lieberman once hosted Hardball for a week, and they actually managed to get both Dems & Republicans to talk substance.

Posted by JM Hanes on January 22, 2008 12:18 AM
This fellow, the first hire of Fred’s campaign, makes many of my points.
In retrospect, I suspect that the critics who said he started too late were right, though not for the reasons that most posited. Fred was correct when he quipped on Leno that the American people would not hold it against him that he waited a few months to officially declare. Everybody I know, however, underestimated how important it is to have political allies lined up ahead of time. Most of the leading candidates were working behind the scenes for years, making unofficial deals with the people in every state who know how to wield influence and mobilize the rank and file. Fred, on the other hand, honestly never lusted for the power of the presidency. He agreed, upon significant urging, to run because he believed it was the right thing to do for his children and the country. Politics, however, apparently requires more.
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